All calls
XOMequity
XOM
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-09-04:XOM:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Sep 8, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score27.04
Published (UTC)Sep 8, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$160.71
20-session risk band$151.18 – $170.23
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthModerate
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-09-04
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Moderate
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 80%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
WINGraded Oct 6, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 155.5072 (entry 160.7050 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $170.23 · 5.93% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $160.71 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $151.18 · -5.93% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 15.34
- ▸momentum returns · 8.32
- ▸relative strength · 2.46
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -1.45
Immutable receipt
sha256:b43286bae2c8efc71c7df2f12a055fa28ed522a9b98bde3f0e0cd5e9fb641425
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Sep 8, 2026 · Draft created
- Sep 8, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Sep 8, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Oct 6, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.