All calls
US-TREASURY-CURVEtreasury
US-TREASURY-CURVE
YIELDS_STABLE
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:US-TREASURY-CURVE:bud-treasury-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionYIELDS_STABLE
Score—
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close—
20-session risk band—
Benchmark—
Signal strength—
Model versionbud-treasury-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: —
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 85%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
LossGraded Sep 30, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if the 10Y 20-observation change crosses back through 8.0000 bps (frozen threshold).
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
—
Base
—
Bear
—
Supporting factors
- ▸change 20obs bps
- ▸slope 10Y 2Y bps
Opposing factors
—
Immutable receipt
sha256:3e06f332bc213bc608ebc1ff2b2bdfb7406862760b00744e83bca7784e6346f8
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Aug 29, 2026 · Correction recorded
- Sep 30, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.