All calls
SPYetf
SPY
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:SPY:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score28.90
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$769.35
20-session risk band$747.37 – $791.33
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthModerate
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Moderate
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 80%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
LossGraded Sep 29, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 759.8671 (entry 769.3500 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $791.33 · 2.86% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $769.35 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $747.37 · -2.86% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 13.84
- ▸momentum returns · 8.95
- ▸volatility risk · 5.49
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -2.18
Immutable receipt
sha256:8b2dd8ee02b0727179ebb37c73303d03b4b01f6d6bf95965162d26d7df7e0572
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Sep 29, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.