All calls
QQQetf
QQQ
NEUTRAL
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-09-04:QQQ:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Sep 8, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionNEUTRAL
Score19.26
Published (UTC)Sep 8, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$718.96
20-session risk band$693.56 – $744.36
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthWeak
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-09-04
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Weak
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 69%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
ABSTENTIONGraded Oct 6, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Neutral invalidated if daily close breaks outside [704.7853, 733.1347] (entry +/- 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $744.36 · 3.53% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $718.96 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $693.56 · -3.53% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 10.45
- ▸momentum returns · 10.32
- ▸volatility risk · 4.16
Opposing factors
- ▸relative strength · -4.09
- ▸volume · -2.18
Immutable receipt
sha256:7f18d5f742e6d6352cd84cb8d2e595e9eff2a52fd79f76ce88fd3b01e8ac584f
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Sep 8, 2026 · Draft created
- Sep 8, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Sep 8, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Oct 6, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.