All calls
QQQetf
QQQ
NEUTRAL
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:QQQ:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionNEUTRAL
Score15.13
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$716.43
20-session risk band$680.56 – $752.30
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthWeak
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Weak
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 69%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
ABSTENTIONGraded Sep 28, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Neutral invalidated if daily close breaks outside [700.7577, 732.1023] (entry +/- 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $752.30 · 5.01% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $716.43 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $680.56 · -5.01% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 11.78
- ▸momentum returns · 9.79
- ▸volatility risk · 3.21
Opposing factors
- ▸relative strength · -7.77
- ▸volume · -2.19
Immutable receipt
sha256:5562891a492d7460f9c653c4c3bfe8394fd2255ad7da05f6519e009f173bfd3a
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Sep 28, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.