All calls
NVDAequity
NVDA
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-09-04:NVDA:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Sep 8, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score47.63
Published (UTC)Sep 8, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$230.36
20-session risk band$202.02 – $258.70
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthStrong
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-09-04
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Strong
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 69%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
WINGraded Oct 6, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 219.2890 (entry 230.3600 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $258.70 · 12.30% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $230.36 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $202.02 · -12.30% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 19.59
- ▸momentum returns · 13.79
- ▸relative strength · 13.15
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -0.40
- ▸volatility risk · -0.23
Immutable receipt
sha256:c3173fcb1d76a03a96ee254d89e98c06a0c9272a712257f49bc26ebcce7c8d9c
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Sep 8, 2026 · Draft created
- Sep 8, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Sep 8, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Oct 6, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.