All calls
NVDAequity
NVDA
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:NVDA:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score23.39
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$217.55
20-session risk band$189.91 – $245.19
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthWeak
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Weak
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 69%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
WINGraded Sep 28, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 206.0566 (entry 217.5500 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $245.19 · 12.70% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $217.55 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $189.91 · -12.70% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸momentum returns · 12.80
- ▸trend ma · 11.20
- ▸relative strength · 2.22
Opposing factors
- ▸volatility risk · -2.50
- ▸volume · -0.72
Immutable receipt
sha256:ec35107489d648d65af79f8d607617fe55038657480fda5344ac0423ef404474
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Sep 28, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.