All calls
MSFTequity
MSFT
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-09-04:MSFT:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Sep 8, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score51.56
Published (UTC)Sep 8, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$499.70
20-session risk band$467.53 – $531.87
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthStrong
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-09-04
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Strong
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 80%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
WINGraded Oct 6, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 481.9409 (entry 499.7000 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $531.87 · 6.44% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $499.70 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $467.53 · -6.44% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 23.25
- ▸relative strength · 20.00
- ▸momentum returns · 9.56
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -3.78
Immutable receipt
sha256:2a7555047b3d232eb14fb08349742bb3c00f2235be3e5834c58143e10e6c505a
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Sep 8, 2026 · Draft created
- Sep 8, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Sep 8, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Oct 6, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.