All calls
MSFTequity
MSFT
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:MSFT:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score58.51
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$513.53
20-session risk band$476.05 – $551.01
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthStrong
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Strong
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 80%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
LossGraded Sep 28, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 495.4202 (entry 513.5300 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $551.01 · 7.30% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $513.53 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $476.05 · -7.30% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 24.22
- ▸relative strength · 20.00
- ▸momentum returns · 11.48
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -2.48
Immutable receipt
sha256:37ee7042ddb3a1aa21d8133ab4c3b8bd302cd3aed0e52eb910c823342f99082b
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Sep 28, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.