All calls
METAequity
META
BEARISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:META:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBEARISH
Score-47.66
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$578.02
20-session risk band$520.51 – $635.53
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthStrong
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Strong
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 85%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
LossGraded Sep 28, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close rises above 608.1258 (entry 578.0200 + 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $635.53 · 9.95% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $578.02 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $520.51 · -9.95% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
—
Opposing factors
- ▸relative strength · -17.19
- ▸trend ma · -14.71
- ▸momentum returns · -8.90
Immutable receipt
sha256:d2c3afc8992e3c020559dcd25f0066ea0e1a9ce47967f707a7096d081307c9e1
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Sep 28, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.