All calls
IWMetf
IWM
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-09-04:IWM:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Sep 8, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score25.41
Published (UTC)Sep 8, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$296.01
20-session risk band$286.12 – $305.90
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthModerate
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-09-04
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Moderate
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 69%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
LossGraded Oct 6, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 291.0638 (entry 296.0100 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $305.90 · 3.34% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $296.01 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $286.12 · -3.34% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 12.02
- ▸momentum returns · 10.31
- ▸volatility risk · 4.52
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -2.25
- ▸rsi · -0.31
Immutable receipt
sha256:365acf1a48f873c98996360b58f8b40039ac5824d5d50d2db8341b097aa324ec
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Sep 8, 2026 · Draft created
- Sep 8, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Sep 8, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Oct 6, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.