All calls
IWMetf
IWM
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:IWM:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score23.04
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$295.75
20-session risk band$283.89 – $307.61
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthWeak
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Weak
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 69%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
LossGraded Sep 28, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 290.7368 (entry 295.7500 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $307.61 · 4.01% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $295.75 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $283.89 · -4.01% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 13.02
- ▸momentum returns · 9.13
- ▸volatility risk · 4.11
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -2.66
- ▸rsi · -0.78
Immutable receipt
sha256:f61029a8c2cd39f7f28a8a98798b46728ddaefe4c0e5a0d2861089f32266a7b0
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Sep 28, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.