All calls
GOOGLequity
GOOGL
BEARISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-09-04:GOOGL:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Sep 8, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBEARISH
Score-30.52
Published (UTC)Sep 8, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$338.46
20-session risk band$318.28 – $358.64
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthModerate
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-09-04
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Moderate
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 80%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
LossGraded Oct 6, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close rises above 350.6362 (entry 338.4600 + 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $358.64 · 5.96% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $338.46 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $318.28 · -5.96% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸momentum returns · 5.19
Opposing factors
- ▸relative strength · -20.00
- ▸trend ma · -10.43
- ▸volume · -2.61
Immutable receipt
sha256:f9e7ca349effaa31e70b265ed13b9b7eee58a031c8d7c4b4075f4b868094857e
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Sep 8, 2026 · Draft created
- Sep 8, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Sep 8, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Oct 6, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.