All calls
GOOGLequity
GOOGL
BEARISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:GOOGL:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBEARISH
Score-21.45
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$346.59
20-session risk band$317.74 – $375.44
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthWeak
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Weak
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 80%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
WINGraded Sep 28, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close rises above 359.3067 (entry 346.5900 + 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $375.44 · 8.33% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $346.59 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $317.74 · -8.33% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸momentum returns · 4.90
Opposing factors
- ▸relative strength · -17.62
- ▸trend ma · -4.13
- ▸volatility risk · -2.37
Immutable receipt
sha256:f381bd8fdb4f36a9480017d676bb7b4bfe79e4a56236deb4e3457dcecb6be0c3
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Sep 28, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.



