All calls
DIAetf
DIA
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-09-04:DIA:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Sep 8, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score26.37
Published (UTC)Sep 8, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$534.08
20-session risk band$520.94 – $547.22
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthModerate
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-09-04
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Moderate
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 80%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
LossGraded Oct 6, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 527.1697 (entry 534.0800 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $547.22 · 2.46% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $534.08 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $520.94 · -2.46% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 14.11
- ▸momentum returns · 8.25
- ▸volatility risk · 5.52
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -2.59
Immutable receipt
sha256:529257a1d06b59f17e94975cfc6c52c2df668d5287243816263588c06d21cad0
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Sep 8, 2026 · Draft created
- Sep 8, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Sep 8, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Oct 6, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.