All calls
DIAetf
DIA
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:DIA:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score32.95
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$535.06
20-session risk band$519.34 – $550.78
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthModerate
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Moderate
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 80%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
LossGraded Sep 28, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 528.3628 (entry 535.0600 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $550.78 · 2.94% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $535.06 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $519.34 · -2.94% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 15.49
- ▸momentum returns · 8.35
- ▸volatility risk · 5.32
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -2.18
Immutable receipt
sha256:dcfec7aabf9f21a2f8a1d25db352598b7716479ac21161fcaf7e1ead07e4e5d3
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Sep 28, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.