All calls
AMZNequity
AMZN
NEUTRAL
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-09-04:AMZN:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Sep 8, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionNEUTRAL
Score11.72
Published (UTC)Sep 8, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$258.51
20-session risk band$239.69 – $277.33
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthWeak
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-09-04
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Weak
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 69%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
ABSTENTIONGraded Oct 6, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Neutral invalidated if daily close breaks outside [248.4720, 268.5480] (entry +/- 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $277.33 · 7.28% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $258.51 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $239.69 · -7.28% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸momentum returns · 7.24
- ▸trend ma · 6.65
- ▸relative strength · 1.08
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -3.23
- ▸rsi · -0.08
Immutable receipt
sha256:b081b99d0b695c44c8c4dfa061987e00e29895bccbdad33c9bc11b293695916e
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Sep 8, 2026 · Draft created
- Sep 8, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Sep 8, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Oct 6, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.