All calls
AMZNequity
AMZN
NEUTRAL
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:AMZN:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionNEUTRAL
Score12.42
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$266.43
20-session risk band$243.89 – $288.97
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthWeak
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Weak
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 69%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
ABSTENTIONGraded Sep 28, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Neutral invalidated if daily close breaks outside [255.8743, 276.9856] (entry +/- 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $288.97 · 8.46% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $266.43 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $243.89 · -8.46% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 10.42
- ▸momentum returns · 8.21
- ▸rsi · 0.98
Opposing factors
- ▸relative strength · -5.43
- ▸volume · -2.21
Immutable receipt
sha256:15f4c9d17255117cda02624446ac589e3705cac8df1b695ffb6261ccbff1d711
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Sep 28, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.