All calls
AAPLequity
AAPL
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-09-04:AAPL:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Sep 8, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score29.55
Published (UTC)Sep 8, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$319.97
20-session risk band$301.09 – $338.85
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthModerate
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-09-04
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Moderate
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 69%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
WINGraded Oct 6, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 308.5094 (entry 319.9700 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $338.85 · 5.90% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $319.97 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $301.09 · -5.90% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 18.48
- ▸momentum returns · 11.56
- ▸volatility risk · 1.98
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -2.59
- ▸relative strength · -0.53
Immutable receipt
sha256:c54b51f359c44c67906748c293e42a969b768e95c90f0caa0820e47cc9030f74
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Sep 8, 2026 · Draft created
- Sep 8, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Sep 8, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Oct 6, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.