All calls
AAPLequity
AAPL
BULLISH
GradedEND OF DAY
CALL call:2026-08-28:AAPL:bud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Published Aug 29, 2026
Frozen at publication
DirectionBULLISH
Score34.38
Published (UTC)Aug 29, 2026
Research horizon20 trading days
Reference close$319.70
20-session risk band$303.06 – $336.34
BenchmarkSPY
Signal strengthModerate
Model versionbud-equity-etf-v1.0.0
Sourcetwelvedata_daily_history + quotron_quotes
As of2026-08-28
On confidence
Data quality: HighSignal strength: Moderate
Not a probability of profit. model/data confidence — NOT probability of profit (internal score 80%, retained for audit.)
Outcome
WINGraded Sep 28, 2026
Return
—
vs Benchmark
—
Thesis invalidation
Invalidated if daily close falls below 308.9702 (entry 319.7000 - 1.5*ATR14)
Scenarios — model band, not certainty
Bull
Target $336.34 · 5.20% · Upper 1-std model band over horizon
Base
Target $319.70 · 0.00% · Reference close (no drift assumed)
Bear
Target $303.06 · -5.20% · Lower 1-std model band over horizon
Supporting factors
- ▸trend ma · 20.29
- ▸momentum returns · 11.49
- ▸volatility risk · 2.34
Opposing factors
- ▸volume · -2.21
Immutable receipt
sha256:fada55583c32f8f5f60797cf8e495686da033ff12e21963916189cdb3d63c6f3
Written once at publication. Never rewritten.
Audit trail
- Aug 29, 2026 · Draft created
- Aug 29, 2026 · Approved & locked
- Aug 29, 2026 · Locked to snapshot
- Sep 28, 2026 · Graded
Research and education only — not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell, and not personalized. Model volatility bands and scores are not guarantees. Past or simulated results do not predict future outcomes.